Jonathan Eckstein's Business Decision Analytics under Uncertainty Classes 33:136:400:01/02
(Fall 2017)

This site is for both Fall 2017 sections of the course.  The Spring 2017 version and earlier versions are also available.

Announcements (As of September 15, 2017 12:38 PM)

Usual Office Hour Schedule

My office is 100 Rockafeller Road, room 5145.   Office hours are tentatively scheduled for

This schedule is subject to change.  Changes will be announced above.  You may also make appointments if regularly scheduled office hours conflict with your class schedule.

Handouts and Class Materials

  1. Wednesday, September 6:  Introduction,  procedures, syllabus, introduction to decision making under uncertainty
  2. Monday, September 11:  Introduction to decision trees, probability review
  3. Wednesday, September 13:   Conditional probability and Bayes' formula
  4. Monday, September 18 (covered by substitute instructor):  More Bayes analysis and decision trees, start revisiting non-EMV decision making
  5. Wednesday, September 20 (covered by substitute instructor):  More non-EMV decision making (especially utility functions), start critical fractile analysis
  6. Monday, September 25:  More critical fractile, including "chunky" demand

Homework Solutions

All solutions will be posted on Blackboard and require a password.  They are in PDF format unless otherwise specified.